Blog Archives

We’re getting closer to the election… so here are some swing state polls:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Another state that has never been considered a swing state but appears close:

Oregon: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (Elway)

This looks better for Florida, which is getting closer, and Ohio. If Obama picks up both of these he would have the election.

 

And here is the current electoral vote possibility:

Advertisements

Latest Swing State Polls (Updated for the Afternoon)

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states. There will likely be more later. I’ll keep an eye out:

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Lake Research)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Old Dominion University)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

I’m not sure I was expecting it, but it looks like Virginia has come around… and one poll (Lake Research) has brought New Hampshire back to Obama.

Some new swing state polls for the morning:

Got a few of these here:

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (CBS News/Quinnipiac)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Morning Call/Muhlenberg)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Angus Reid)

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Here are the latest national polls of the presidential race:

Politico/George Washington University: Romney 49%, Obama 47%

Public Policy Polling: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

Looks like there’s a question about Ohio, depending on which poll you read. Strong leads in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. As for the two National Polls, it looks like Romney comes off stronger. Will tonight’s debate have an effect on these?

Average of Swing State Polls w/electoral votes for this morning:

RCP Poll Average Electoral Votes
States Obama Romney Obama Romney
Colo.

47.7%

47.9%

0

9

Fla.

46.6%

49.1%

0

29

Iowa

49.0%

46.6%

6

0

Nev.

49.0%

46.0%

6

0

N.H.

47.8%

48.8%

0

4

N.C.

44.7%

50.3%

0

15

Ohio

48.1%

45.6%

18

0

Va.

48.0%

48.0%

0

13

Wis.

49.8%

47.0%

10

0

Swing-State Votes

40

70

Leaning/Likely State Votes

237

191

Total Overall Electoral Votes

277

261

Well, here we go again. TV pundits are saying it all depends on Obama winning Ohio… that’s the state that will make all the difference. I’m not sure I see it as a completely required Ohio win and nothing else.
Let’s see how things change after the Monday Night debate.

 

This morning’s first swing state polls…

This may be the first Debate 2 indicator:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground, updated through the day:

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (SurveyUSA)

That NH is a Rasmussen poll is fascinating, as that pollster is heavily weighted towards Republicans.

We’ll see more later.

 

Some new swing state polls…

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (We Ask America)

Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (YouGov)

I expect these will change after tomorrow night’s debate. I’m especially looking for a change in Colorado.

New swing state poll revealed: Colorado

Here it is:

Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Gravis)

And just 2 days ago, Romney was 2% ahead of Obama. Things are picking up.

 

I’m getting more depressed with the latest swing state polls…

It looks like Romney is gaining an advantage… we’ll be seeing in a couple of days what last night’s VP debate does to the calculations, but meanwhile we are here:

Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Denver Post)

Florida: Romney 49%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

No, they aren’t the only polls and we’ll be seeing more later. And lets remember from the Seymour Chwast cartoon above, Romney changes ground frequently.

Todays update of swing state polls:

 

Latest Swing State Polls

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as needed:

Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Foster McCollum)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (EPIC-MRA)

Pennsylvania: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Susquehanna)

Obama is pulling out to the front again, even on the Rasmussen olls in Iowa and Colorado. Rasmussen, as you know, is a primarily Republican pollster.

 

Obama starts coming back in the swing states…

Take a look at the current numbers:

Latest Swing State Polls

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as needed:

Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Foster McCollum)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (EPIC-MRA)

Pennsylvania: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Susquehanna)

Looks like Obama is retaking the lead he had yesterday. Even two of the Rasmussen polls, which are the most conservative of all the polling organizations, are putting Obama back into the lead.

 

Early voting is underway in many states… how about yours?

 

Nov. 6 is officially Election Day , but  the election has started right now — thanks to modern-day open absentee and early voting.

Voting has already begun in multiple states, including some key swing states: North Carolina, Wisconsin and Virginia. My state, West Virginia, started absentee voting five days ago (ends Oct. 31) and begins in person early voting on October 24 (through Nov. 3).

Check the list below and see where your state has early voting. I notice that Connecticut, my original home state, is not on the list (nor is Massachusetts and Rhode Island). Not sure why.

 

 

42 days until the vote… where do the candidates fall into electoral predictions?

Thanks to Talking Points Memo.

It looks like Obama is still increasing his possibilities… and less than 6 weeks to go.

Political humor gets too close to reality…

 

MoveOn.org has put out a new anti-Romney commercial called “Pickpocket” that went out today in swing states.

Funny, yes… but as close to the real potential circumstance as you can get.