Blog Archives

Today’s swing state polls update…

Looks like Obama’a coming back in New Hampshire.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as needed
Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (We Ask America)

Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (YouGov)

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (YouGov)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

New Hampshire: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Suffolk)

North Carolina: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (YouGov)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (YouGov)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Quinnipiac)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

Virginia: Obama 46%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

How to let the Government know you want their hands off Social Security…

… which does not contribute to the budget deficit… in fact the Government owes Social Security the millions they have borrowed from it that they should not have.

If you want to weigh in, AARP (who have not been totally on our side to keep Social Security from being reduced…until the polls showed that this was not the position of their members) has a means of expression you should try:

For the past year, Washington has been discussing changes to Medicare and Social Security behind closed doors as part of a backroom budget deal. Throughout that debate, we heard from millions of members who said they’re tired of Washington playing politics with the benefits they’ve earned. That’s why we’ve launched ‘You’ve Earned A Say.’ We’re calling it that because Americans have earned their benefits by paying into Social Security and Medicare for years and they deserve to know what the politicians are talking about.

As AARP says on the site: Don’t let Washington decide the future of Medicare & Social Security without you.

Make sure you get your position covered.

Poll shows that majorities will get behind Reconciliation…

These polls were conducted by the nonpartisan Research 2000 in key states. Like any poll, it is dependent on the wording.

So here’s a clip from a Plum Line article from Greg Sargent:

clipped from theplumline.whorunsgov.com
The polls — sent over by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, DFA and Credo, which sponsored them — ask the question this way:
If the Senate passes a health care reform bill that you consider to be beneficial to your family, would you object to the Senate’s use of “reconciliation” rules to pass that bill with a majority vote, or not?
In Nevada, 55% wouldn’t object; in Illinois, 67% wouldn’t object; in Washington state, 65% wouldn’t object; in Missouri, 58% wouldn’t object; in Virginia, 60% wouldn’t object; in Iowa, 66% wouldn’t object; and in North Dakota, 53% wouldn’t object.
The key here, obviously, is that the question casts the legislation as “beneficial to your family,” which of course makes it more likely that people will be okay with using reconciliation to pass it.
The point is that public sentiment about reconciliation itself might not be anything Dems need to worry about.
blog it

There are reasons why Obama’s Health Care Reform will go through…

Robert Creamer wrote a really good piece in the HuffPo  called: Why Health Insurance Reform Will Pass This Fall — It’s the High Political Ground. I direct you to it since it blows a hole… no, four holes… in the stuff Morning Joe and his friends were putting out this morning.

The basic points (read the article for the expansions):

1). Most Americans – including swing voters – can’t stand the health insurance industry.

2). The Obama Administration will use every ounce of its political capital to win this battle.

3). As the vote grows closer, many moderate Democrats will begin to realize the price they will pay personally if health insurance reform fails.

4). Finally, the pundits have ignored a critically important new development : the Obama base has been energized.

Creamer has hit the nail squarely on the head: Obama is not going to lose this because he CAN’T lose this. It has been a long time since we have had a Democratic President with this kind of focus… and when he uses his incredible ability to have a positive finish we will find ourselves not only supporting him, but forgetting about most of the crap that has happened during the Congressional break.

The real losers in the Health Care fight are going to be the Grassleys, the DeMints, the Inhofes and the Enzis who will take the $17 million plus they have received from the Insurance Industry and try to explain to their constituents why their perceived strength was only an excuse to make a buck.

After this goes through the polls will show that Americans never had any doubt that Obama and the Democrats would get reform through.