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Tomorrow is Election Day… so where do the swing state polls stand today?

This will probably be the last time I put these up. Now it’s your turn. Make sure to get out and vote and hopefully our man will win.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Romney 52%, Obama 47% (InsiderAdvantage)

Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Pulse Opinion Research)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Pennsylvania: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Looks like Florida is the one to keep an eye on. While Romney leads in 2 out of three polls, this is a REAL swing state that could go either way. I’m not sure the tie in North Carolina really goes to Obama. Nate seems to think it will.

This morning’s Nate Silver‘s poll roundup in Five Thirty Eight is strongly in favor of Obama:

Nate Silver is giving the Election to Obama.

 

Here are the Real Clear Politics Polls for today:

 

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Mitt Romney Supports Barack Obama!

So get out and vote. Mitt gives us a good reason:

Interviews with Supporters at Ohio Romney Rally

Life seems to be very hard for these folks. Listen to the big amount of Romney lies they have ingested like vitamins:

Wow! This is the first time I’ve heard that Obama has brought Buddhists into the country to take over.

How do you live with these people… these utterly stupid an misinformed people?

 

Political results of the day: swing state polls and word from Bloomberg…

Michael Bloomberg, Mayor of NYC, who has not supported either candidate today endorsed Obama for the Presidency. It seems Obama’s actions on Sandy pushed him over the edge.

And here are today’s swing state numbers:

Latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (CallFire)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (CallFire)

Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 53%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

North Carolina: Romney 46%, Obama 45% (High Point University)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Virginia: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 42% (St. Norbert College)

Five days to go… then we’ll have the only poll that really counts… our votes.

Here are today’s swing state poll results…

Sorry I took so long today getting these out. I’ll try to keep on top of these in the future.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (University of Cincinnati)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Gravis)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Franklin and Marshall)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 44% (Roanoke)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 43% (Marquette Law)

A new Gallup poll finds a majority of Americans continue to believe that President Obama will win re-election Tuesday over Mitt Romney, by 54% to 34%.

We’re getting closer to the election… so here are some swing state polls:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Another state that has never been considered a swing state but appears close:

Oregon: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (Elway)

This looks better for Florida, which is getting closer, and Ohio. If Obama picks up both of these he would have the election.

 

And here is the current electoral vote possibility:

Some swing state updates…Ohio looks like Romney is sneaking up.

The strong lead Obama was carrying in Ohio is seen as a tie in this poll. While other polls may be different, this one from the Cincinnati Enquirer is still upsetting:

You get what you pay for…

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Cincinnati Enquirer)

Minnesota: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (Minneapolis Star Tribune)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Priorities USA Action)

I’m really hoping that all these polls are not reality at all. They all  seem to  be set up to one side, left or right, by pollsters before they are taken.

For instance:

“…the Cincinnati Enquirer, a reliably conservative paper that virtually always endorses Republicans.  In 2008, they deftly endorsed John McCain without one word mentioning the walking time-bomb he had chosen as his Vice Presidential candidate.”

 – The Daily Kos

See what I mean?

What would the morning be without swing state poll numbers?

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (OnSight Public Affairs)

Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Purple Strategies)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% (Sunshine State News)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Gravis)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Gravis)

New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (New England College)

North Carolina: Romney 53%, Obama 45% (Gravis)

North Carolina: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Civitas)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (American Research Group)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Purple Strategies)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (CNN/ORC)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Purple Strategies)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Can you believe it? Only 9 days of polls to go.

 

Afternoon swing state polls updated here…

Check these out, some of them have changed around since this morning:

Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (OnSight Public Affairs)

Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Purple Strategies)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% (Sunshine State News)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Gravis)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Gravis)

New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (New England College)

North Carolina: Romney 53%, Obama 45% (Gravis)

North Carolina: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Civitas)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (American Research Group)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Purple Strategies)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (CNN/ORC)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Purple Strategies)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

 

Morning report on swing state polls… With afternoon update

Here are the latest polls from the battleground. These will be updated when more numbers are available:

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (Gravis)

Michigan: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Foster McCollum)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Lake Research)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 44% (Time)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Lake Resaearch)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Old Dominion

University)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Wow. Four different pollsters give Ohio to Obama. The word on early voting is that it’s 2 to 1 in Obama’s favor.

Only 12 days left to the official election day.

Latest Swing State Polls (Updated for the Afternoon)

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states. There will likely be more later. I’ll keep an eye out:

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Lake Research)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Old Dominion University)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

I’m not sure I was expecting it, but it looks like Virginia has come around… and one poll (Lake Research) has brought New Hampshire back to Obama.

Some new swing state polls for the morning:

Got a few of these here:

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (CBS News/Quinnipiac)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Morning Call/Muhlenberg)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Angus Reid)

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Here are the latest national polls of the presidential race:

Politico/George Washington University: Romney 49%, Obama 47%

Public Policy Polling: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

Looks like there’s a question about Ohio, depending on which poll you read. Strong leads in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. As for the two National Polls, it looks like Romney comes off stronger. Will tonight’s debate have an effect on these?

A few swing state poll updates for this afternoon…

Here are the latest polls from the battleground since our morning check:

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Grove Insight)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Gravis)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Public Policy Polling)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

Gee, Florida and Virginia are both looking better for Obama.

Average of Swing State Polls w/electoral votes for this morning:

RCP Poll Average Electoral Votes
States Obama Romney Obama Romney
Colo.

47.7%

47.9%

0

9

Fla.

46.6%

49.1%

0

29

Iowa

49.0%

46.6%

6

0

Nev.

49.0%

46.0%

6

0

N.H.

47.8%

48.8%

0

4

N.C.

44.7%

50.3%

0

15

Ohio

48.1%

45.6%

18

0

Va.

48.0%

48.0%

0

13

Wis.

49.8%

47.0%

10

0

Swing-State Votes

40

70

Leaning/Likely State Votes

237

191

Total Overall Electoral Votes

277

261

Well, here we go again. TV pundits are saying it all depends on Obama winning Ohio… that’s the state that will make all the difference. I’m not sure I see it as a completely required Ohio win and nothing else.
Let’s see how things change after the Monday Night debate.

 

This morning’s Battleground State polls…

Looks like Obama continues to pull ahead. It will be interesting where he is when next Monday’s debate comes along.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground, updated through the day:

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (SurveyUSA)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Project for a New America)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 42% (SurveyUSA)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Marquette Law)

Looks like the debate has changed the swing state polls:

Well, the numbers have moved, for the most part in Romney’s favor. It’s amazing what an evening of lies can bring you.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as need throughout the day:

Ohio: Romney 47%, Obama 46% (We Ask America)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Florida: Romney 49%, Obama 46% (We Ask America)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Virginia: Romney 48%, Obama 45% (We Ask America)

***Another Poll Update***
National:    Obama 47    Romney 47
Florida:    Obama 47    Romney 46
Virginia:    Obama 48    Romney 46
(Source: National Journal, NBC/WSJ/Marist)

The question has been raised, however, did Romney cheat on the debate. No pre-written notes were allowed at the presidential debate but a video clip shows Mitt Romney pulling something from his pocket at the start of the debate.

The Romney campaign says it was a handkerchief. Take a look and see what you think:

Looks like Romney blows his nose in paper.

Romney screws up his own crowd energy in Ohio. Who would have guessed?

Today on Morning Joe I realized why I like watching this in the morning and why a RINO like Joe Scarborough is fun to watch. Here’s what happened this morning:

They rolled a clip of Romney and Ryan in Ohio. Romney introduces Ryan to the crowd and the crowd starts cheering spontaneously “Ryan, Ryan, Ryan!”

Wow! They crowd is fired up! This is the point, right? Right?

But then Romney has a major conflict. He looks at the crowd and at Ryan and then he admonishes the crowd with his hand held up in the HALT position, “Wait a sec, wait a sec! Romney, Ryan, Romney, Ryan, Romney, Ryan.” (Emphasis Romney)

 Does the crowd comply? No. The crowd falls silent. They are not chanting “Romney Ryan”. Awkward.

Romney seems to think the crowd has complied and says “There we go. That’s great.” Gesturing confusedly back to Ryan, he says, “Thank you.” Ryan fidgets in the background, sticks his hands in his pockets.

Romney is oblivious that he just ruined the one moment of energy they were going to get. Another self inflicted wound.

End clip. Cut to Joe and Mika in the studio. Joe has his hands over his face, and he mutters in agony, “Sweet Jesus.”

Want to see what it really looked like so you can experience the morning entertainment for yourself?

Here:

What fun! 🙂

Boehner tells the press that he hopes blacks and latinos don’t vote…

The Speaker of the House told a luncheon hosted by the Christian Science Monitor in Tampa Monday that the Republican Party counted on apathy from the Latinos and blacks in choosing Democrats over Republicans… something that has become apparent by record margins in recent polls.

His actual words (in public, no less):

“This election is about economics… These groups have been hit the hardest. They may not show up and vote for our candidate but I’d suggest to you they won’t show up and vote for the president either.”

Combine this with the Republican campaign for voter ID laws, for limiting voting hours and for stalling registrations , and you get the clear fact that these laws were meant to keep blacks from voting.

As Doug Priesse, chair of the Franklin County, Ohio Republican Party, said about restrictive early voting hours and voter ID laws:

“I guess I really actually feel we shouldn’t contort the voting process to accommodate the urban — read African-American — voter-turnout machine… Let’s be fair and reasonable.”

In Pennsylvania House Republican leader Mike Turzai conceeded the point of voter ID is to help Republicans win

  “Voter ID, which is gonna allow Governor Romney to win the state of Pennsylvania, done.”

So it looks like Republican leadership from the top to the bottom will do their best to realize a publicly stated hope: Keep minorities away from the voting box… it’s the only way for them to have a 100% white male government.

So, according to John Boehner, voters need not love Mitt Romney:

From a longer article at Roll Call:

…at a June 30 fundraiser in Wheeling, W.Va., Speaker John Boehner offered a surprisingly frank assessment of the dynamic that surprised some in the audience.

Aside from Romney’s “friends, relatives and fellow Mormons,” Boehner said, most people will be motivated to vote for him in opposition to Obama.

The Ohio Republican made the remarks when an unidentified woman asked during a question-and-answer session: “Can you make me love Mitt Romney?”

“No,” Boehner said. “Listen, we’re just politicians. I wasn’t elected to play God. The American people probably aren’t going to fall in love with Mitt Romney. I’ll tell you this: 95 percent of the people that show up to vote in November are going to show up in that voting booth, and they are going to vote for or against Barack Obama

So Republicans have a candidate they are not particularly fond of (and neither, for that matter are Democrats), but they are expected to vote for. One would think Boehner’s motivation in speaking for his party would be to get everyone to admire Romney and not stress that he appeals only to “friends, relatives and fellow Mormons.”

Combine that with what Bill Kristol said the other day and the puncturing of Romney’s lies about his business and gubernatorial background vis-a-vis job creation and cutting out unemployment (he succeeded at neither) and it’s not really clear if Republicans will work up the energy to come out to the polls.

Quote of the Day – Paul Begala Predicts Romney’s VeeP Choice…

Thanks to Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire:

“You heard it here first: Mitt Romney is going to select Rob Portman, the junior senator from Ohio, to be his running mate. I have no insight into how Romney will make this decision. But I had a front-row seat at what I believe was the best veep choice of my lifetime...

…I’m betting that Romney’s choice will reflect who he is: a bloodless technocrat who wants to double down on trickle down.”

 

 

Interesting. Anyone giving odds? Not a woman, not a Hispanic.

In his “best veep choice of a lifetime” statement, Begala was, of course, referring to Al Gore. I wonder if, looking back at it, I agree with him…but he has a point.

Will Dennis Kucinich find his way back into Political Office? – Quotes for the afternoon:

“I’ll find a way back in to public service, there’s no doubt about that. The only question is where and when.”

—–

“Tomorrow’s victories will be built from the embers of defeat. Of this I have no doubt. How do I know this? I started my career in 1967 and since then, I have lost a total of eight times. Indeed, when I was elected to Congress in 1996, it was on my FIFTH try.”

Dennis Kucinich

There has been speculation that Kucinich may try to gain a seat from Washington state after losing in a redistricted election in Ohio. To that end, he has taken up speaking in the west coast state where the filing deadline for candidacy is May 18th.It is also easier to get on the ballot in Washington, without petitions or other expenses and complications getting in the way.

A Congressional candidate in Washington state must only pay 1 percent of the annual salary of a House Member as his filing fee and declare his party affiliation. A group called Washington Citizens for Kucinich knows how simple the requirements are and feel it is best if Kucinich makes a decision to run by the end of April.

The new 10th district, which he would run in, is a safe Democratic seat.

Living in the rural district…

Bird's nest over our front porch.

Sunny day, warm weather and I spent the last half hour sitting out on my porch with my next door neighbor, Francis, talking about lawn mowing, hay growing, birds nesting, different kinds of tree blossoms…etc,etc. This is nice.

If you are going to be retired, I can’t think of a better place. It’s a great place to write and develop theatre projects (John Case and I are working on an updated

Flowering Pear Tree

version of Odets’ “Waiting for Lefty” which will include contemporary references and some music… we’ll be performing it at The Folly sometime this summer.) It’s also wonderful for gardening and other outdoor activities.

There’s a whole different kind of concerns out here than there is in the closer suburbs… the weather relates more to how the land operates than to what you’ll wear and how you will move around. Rain out here is is a prized phenomenon (and we expect some this afternoon and tomorrow.)

And now that winter has been eliminated by an early spring, it looks like things will get even better.

Quote for the Morning – Santorum has it in the bag (trash bag, of course)

“If we’re able to come out of Illinois with a huge or surprise win, I guarantee you, I guarantee you that we will win this nomination.”

Rick Santorum

Guarantee? Is Illinois a “winner take all” state? Did everyone forget that the Santorum campaign failed to file a full slate of delegates in four districts in Illinois so odds are Romney will emerge the delegate winner despite who wins the state.

Politicians who make guarantees are worth ignoring.

Conservative politics takes another downward step…

I am constantly amazed by the incredibly unsettling nature of tea-party politics. I would hope that politicians running for office (or even non-politicians for that matter) would have some kind of informed knowledge about national needs and issues.

Then something like this happens (according to the AP):

Samuel Wurzelbacher gained the nickname “Joe the Plumber” for expressing working-class concerns about taxes to then-candidate Barack Obama during a stop to the region.

The Toledo-area plumber defeated Steve Kraus, a Sandusky real estate agent, early Wednesday to grab the GOP nomination in Ohio’s 9th Congressional District.

I remember his discussion with Obama on the 2008 campaign trail and I am not impressed with the man. Actually, I think he is somewhat of a joke (and great fodder for both the Daily Show and Stephen Colbert.)

I’m beginning to think the national elections this year are going to be the most entertaining and amusing in years. Hopefully, we will survive as a nation.

Is there a split going on with the far right?

…from The Hill.