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Are you ready for the morning swing state polls?

Here they are:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

Veterans are becoming an observed community.

Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 43% (Project New America)

Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (Gravis)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Project New America)

Iowa:: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

Michigan: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Foster McCollum)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist)

North Carolina: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Public Policy Polling)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen)

Florida’s in question this morning… but it’s fairly close. Colorado is moving toward Obama.. first time all week.

We’ll look for updates later.

Morning report on swing state polls… With afternoon update

Here are the latest polls from the battleground. These will be updated when more numbers are available:

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (Gravis)

Michigan: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Foster McCollum)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Lake Research)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 44% (Time)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Lake Resaearch)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Old Dominion

University)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Wow. Four different pollsters give Ohio to Obama. The word on early voting is that it’s 2 to 1 in Obama’s favor.

Only 12 days left to the official election day.

This morning’s first swing state polls:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground:

How about Electoral Vote and Senate predictions…

Nevada: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (American Research Group)

New Hampshire: Romney 49%, Obama 47% (American Research Group)

Both of these show changes: Romney up in New Hampshire and Obama leading in Nevada. Also, remember: 270 Electoral votes to win.

When more of these polls come out today I will make them available either in a new post or updating this one.

 

This morning’s Battleground State polls…

Looks like Obama continues to pull ahead. It will be interesting where he is when next Monday’s debate comes along.

Here are the latest polls from the battleground, updated through the day:

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (SurveyUSA)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Project for a New America)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 42% (SurveyUSA)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Marquette Law)

This morning’s first swing state polls…

This may be the first Debate 2 indicator:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground, updated through the day:

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Nevada: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (SurveyUSA)

That NH is a Rasmussen poll is fascinating, as that pollster is heavily weighted towards Republicans.

We’ll see more later.

 

OK… where is registration heading in swing states?

 

A Bloomberg analysis finds that Democrats hold the registration advantage over Republicans in four of six battleground states that will play a key role in the presidential election.

“Democrats have the edge over Republicans in Florida, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina. In Colorado and New Hampshire, Republicans outnumber Democrats, according to the analysis of state data. Three other battlegrounds — Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin — don’t report registration statistics by party.”

 

Ann Romney’s biggest worry: Mitt may go nuts in office…

 

Nevada television station KTVN interviewed Mitt’s wife, Ann Romney, who revealed that her biggest concern is her husband’s mental well-being” if  he becomes president.

Her statement:

“I think my biggest concern obviously would just be for his mental well-being. I have all the confidence in the world in his ability, in his decisiveness, in his leadership skills, in his understanding of the economy. …So for me I think it would just be the emotional part of it.”

So… is Ann’s lack of confidence her husband’s ability to mentally  handle the job as the President of the United States going to instill confidence in voters? Well, she still supported his run even though it might produce this emotional distress.

 

It’s another day of Obama leading in the swing state polls…

 

OK… 42 days to go until election day (although half the states have started early or absentee voting already) and the swing states are still in Obama‘s favor and increasing that way. Here we are today:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)

Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)

If he is going to come back, Romney will have to do something spectacular in the first debate. Many of the pundits think that is hardly likely.

 

Quote of the Day – The Value of Donald Trump’s Endorsement

After Santorum won all three primaries/caucuses yesterday and Mitt came in really far behind, Donald Trump, who had claimed credit for Mitt’s Nevada win, told CNN he was puzzled:

Rick Santorum was a sitting senator who in re-election lost by 19 points, to my knowledge the most in the history of this country for a sitting senator to lose by 19 points. It’s unheard of. Then he goes out and says oh ‘okay’ I just lost by the biggest margin in history and now I’m going to run for president. Tell me, how does that work? … That’s like me saying I just failed a test. Now I’m going to apply for admission to the Wharton School of Finance. Okay? He just failed a test…. And now he’s going to run for president. So, I don’t get Rick Santorum. I don’t get that whole thing.”

Looks like The Donald’s political expertise is somewhat questionable. Do you think Mitt won Nevada for some other reason than Trump’s endorsement?

Women raped in Idaho can forget about abortions… it’s God’s will.

The Idaho House has passed legislation already approved by their Senate which bans abortions even in the case of rape.

God's Agent in Idaho

The bill’s House sponsor, state Rep. Brent Crane, R-Nampa, told legislators that the “hand of the Almighty” was at work. “His ways are higher than our ways.”

12 states are now considering similar legislation.

This clip is from PoliticsUSA… go in and read the whole thing (and try not to vomit).

clipped from www.politicususa.com
You probably remember Nevada Republican Sharron Angle’s rape lemonade. Angle claimed that “two wrongs don’t make a right” and insisted that she told young victims she had counseled to look for alternatives to abortion, “And they found that they had made what was really a lemon situation into lemonade.” It is Angle’s opinion that women should have no control over their reproductive systems even in cases of rape and incest because it would interfere with God’s plan.
Because nobody likes raping young girls like God, right Sharron?
Angle may have been defeated, Nevada women safe (at least temporarily) but if Idaho Republicans have their way, rape lemonade will be the only remedy to pregnancies caused by rape in that state.
The Idaho House on Tuesday passed Senate Bill 1165 on a 54-14 vote, which bans abortion after 20 weeks on grounds of fetal pain.
The only way a woman can get an abortion is if the pregnancy threatens her life or physical health. For Republicans, rape is no excuse.
Credit to them, all 13 of Idaho’s House Democrats voted against the bill. One Republican voted against it as well: Rep. Tom Trail, R-Moscow. blog it

Someone referred to the Republicans in Idaho as the “Idaho Taliban” and it’s a name that I think will stick.

Were you one of the 50,000?

If you were one of the 50,000 people across the country who signed the online petition (and made comments as well) from the Bold Progressives (Progressive Campaign Change Committee), then here are the names and comments being presented to Senator Harry Reid in Nevada:

I often wonder if all the petitions I sign with progressive groups really get through. I guess they do.

Here’s a review of the Nevada election…

Republicans were a surprise voting block re-electing Reid over the Tea Party‘s nut case.
This from HuffPo:
clipped from www.huffingtonpost.com

Harry Reid Toppled Sharron Angle In Nevada Senate Election With Many Votes From Registered Republicans

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid toppled Republican rival Sharron Angle in Nevada’s midterm election last month with support from a perhaps surprising voting bloc, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reports.
According to the Silver State-based outlet:

Preliminary figures show just 2,000 more Democrats than Republicans voted in Nevada’s general election, the secretary of state’s office said Monday. 

Because there were 60,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans at the time of the election, the figures are a clear indication that many Republicans cast votes for Democrat U.S. Sen. Harry Reid rather than for his Republican opponent, Sharron Angle, a secretary of state spokeswoman said.

Reid’s margin was a surprise in a race where a succession of polls showed a dead heat. But he had been there before, re-elected by 428 votes in 1998. 

Reid’s platform was power.

blog it

Sharron Angle Gets Cease And Desist Letter From Hasbro Over ‘Harry Reid’s Amnesty Game’

clipped from www.huffingtonpost.com
Toymaker Hasbro has sent Sharron Angle‘s Senate campaign a cease and desist letter, saying the Nevada Republican never received permission to use the rights to Monopoly for its “Harry Reid Amnesty Game” website.
“The MONOPOLY image that you are referring to was used without permission — and our legal department sent a cease and desist letter via fax to Ms. Angle’s offices on Friday,” said Hasbro spokesman Pat Riso in a statement to The Huffington Post on Monday.
As of the publishing of this piece, however, the site remained up, and Riso said that they have not yet heard anything from the Angle campaign.
The Angle campaign launched its website last week as an attack on Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s (D-Nev.) positions on immigration, touting the game as “fun for the whole illegal family.”
The Angle campaign also ran into intellectual property trouble in September, when it was sued for reprinting two Las Vegas Review-Journal on its website without receiving permission.
blog it
Getting permission to use copyrighted work? What an interesting idea. It’s always nice when candidates respect our laws.

Tim Kaine says turnout at election is going to make the difference…

We’re entering the last week before the November 2nd election and Tim Kaine, the Democratic Party Chair, is seeing advanced Democratic presence in the states where there is early voting… especially in Nevada… which does not seem to equal the current poll of Independents who are leaning Republican.

The President is crossing the country again making even more campaign support speeches for Democrats and the concern seems to be not with Independents, but to make sure a majority of registered Democrats from the 2008 victory come out to vote.

We seem to be having a large Democratic turnout in the Jefferson County, WV, early voting… including Elly and me… but I know from the past that Jefferson County is more liberal than most of the state and  often presents a different result. Hopefully, however, Governor Manchin will take the Senate if people realize what a danger Raese is to the state. WE can hope… the polls are too close.

I encourage all the Democrats out there (and all the Independents who have not been suckered in by the Tea Party/Republican positions and statements) to vote and vote early if possible (in my state you have Early Voting until Thursday.) There is too much left to do to bring the Country back from the 8-year Bush destructiveness. There is no need to dig the hole deeper.

Interesting… I’m one of those early voters!

There’s more in this article at HuffPo:

Early Voting Shows Surprising Turnout For Democrats

Election Day is already over for more than 3 million Americans, and a surprising number of them are Democrats.

Republicans clearly are gaining ground in turning out early voters compared with their showing two years ago, but figures from the first batch of states that offer clues about 2010 early voting patterns still give Democrats an edge in a number of states and big counties.

“If people thought the Democrats were just going to roll over and play dead in this election, that’s not what we’re seeing,” said Michael McDonald, a George Mason University professor who tracks early voting nationally. “They’ve got to be feeling a little bit better with the numbers that they’re seeing.”
So far more Democrats than Republicans are casting ballots in Iowa, Maryland, North Carolina, Louisiana and Nevada‘s heavily Democratic Clark County, which supplied two-thirds of the state’s voters in 2008.

blog it

The Big Three… and The Little One. TeaBaggers In Media.

The Top Three TeaBaggers (those who are getting the most press coverage… primarily because of their utter outrageousness as they campaign) are in the following three videos. If you are in their voting districts and this doesn’t make you realize what schmucks they are, then I have no more hope for intelligent politics.

Christine O’Donnell:

– and –

Sharron Angle:

– and –

Joe Miller’s Security Firm “Drop Zone”:

I could have put in a Rand Paul video, but I’ll give you a neat cartoon by Joel Pett instead:

This isn’t an election as much as it is a draining of intelligence from the population.

News from Nevada – Top Republican Endorses Harry Reid, Slams Sharron Angle

Harry Reid has a close fight going on in Nevada to maintain his Senate seat, despite Sharron Angle‘s near-insane stands on just about everything. It looks like she has  turned off at least one leading state Republican… one who has never supported a Democrat before. This from HuffPo:

Nevada State Sen. Bill Raggio, who is considered to be one of the most influential Republican lawmakers in the Silver State, endorsed Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in his reelection fight against GOP challenger Sharron Angle on Thursday.

Raggio has served in the Nevada state legislature since 1972, and told “Face-to-Face” host Jon Ralston this week that never in that long career had he endorsed a Democrat. But given the caliber of his own party’s nominee, he said in a statement Thursday, that time has come.

“What is difficult to overlook is her record of being totally ineffective as a four-term assemblywomen, her inability or unwillingness to work with others, even within her own party, and her extreme positions on issues such as Medicare, social security, education, veterans affairs and many others,” Raggio said of Angle.

Raggio, of course, has another reason to dislike Angle, who made a failed attempt to unseat him in 2008. He also challenged his Republican colleagues who have lined up behind Angle’s campaign.

Recently Raggio also made his point in a NY Times interview:

“I would say there are a lot of Republicans who will find it difficult to support Sharron Angle. Abolishing the Department of Education, phasing out Social Security, those are pretty extreme positions. I think any incumbent is vulnerable, but you have to have somebody that is also acceptable if you’re going to win.”

With only 25 days left until the election, getting an important Republican’s endorsement, however reluctant it is, is something which could keep Reid a point or so ahead.

_________

NOTE:

I was watching Dylan Ratigan’s show as I wrote the above entry and just caught Sharron Angle making the statement that two major American cities are now under Islamic control. What do Republicans drink in Nevada?

What happens if “No One” gets elected in Nevada…

clipped from politicalwire.com

For more than three decades, Nevada voters have had the choice of choosing “None of These Candidates” when they enter the voting booth. With a new Mason-Dixon poll showing Nevadans very unhappy with their choices in the U.S. Senate race, the ballot line might actually help determine the victor.

Nate Silver thinks Sen. Harry Reid (D) may “be hoping to get an assist from the ballot option this year, which is unique among the 50 states. Indeed, there are those who think his entire campaign may be predicated upon it. Mr. Reid’s job approval numbers, hovering around 40 percent in most polls, would ordinarily prevent a candidate from being re-elected. But his opponent Sharron Angle, whom Mr. Reid’s campaign has tagged for her ‘extreme and dangerous’ views, might not be elected under ordinary circumstances either.”
Major caveat: “None of These Candidates” cannot actually win the
election. If it were to win a plurality, the election would default to
the second-place candidate.
blog it
So…. Harry Reid could “lose” and still “win”?