Blog Archives

Newt’s dropping out on May 1st…

…according to CNN. It’s expected he will formally endorse Romney on that day as well.

Having come up very low in the five primaries yesterday, Mitt is looking at no more money to survive with and no viable reason to stay in the race (even though he promised not to pull out before the convention.

According to CNN, Gingrich is likely to hold his final campaign event Tuesday in Washington, D.C., where he will make the announcement surrounded by his family and supporters.

C-PAC is over and it looks like Santorum came out on top…

From Public Policy Polling:

rICK sANTORUM (BEHIND HIM IS HIS MULTI-MILLIONAIRE FUNDING SOURCE, FOSTER FRIESS)

Part of the reason for Santorum’s surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney’s favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he was +24 (55/31). Gingrich has fallen even further. A 44% plurality of GOP voters now hold a negative opinion of him to only 42% with a positive one. That’s a 34 point drop from 2 months ago when he was at +32 (60/28).

Santorum is now completely dominating with several key segments of the electorate, especially the most right leaning parts of the party. With those describing themselves as ‘very conservative,’ he’s now winning a majority of voters at 53% to 20% for Gingrich and 15% for Romney.  Santorum gets a majority with Tea Party voters as well at 51% to 24% for Gingrich and 12% for Romney. And with Evangelicals he falls just short of a majority with 45% to 21% for Gingrich and 18% for Romney.

Not sure what Romney’s going to do now… look for really bottom feeding TV ads attacking Rick and lots of money spent by Mitt. This should be fun.

I must have missed this over the Holidays…

…but it’s worth playing it now. I need some humor this afternoon.

First primary poll I’ve seen from Florida…

After Newt’s win in South Carolina, he seems to be having a surge in Florida. I just saw an InsiderAdvantage poll of of 557 registered Republican voters and Gingrich leads Romney by 8 points:

  1. Gingrich: 34 percent
  2. Romney: 26 percent
  3. Ron Paul: 13 percent
  4. Rick Santorum: 11 percent
  5. Other: 2 percent
  6. No opinion: 14 percent

“Gingrich has been closing the gap nationally, according to the Gallup tracking poll. Florida is a reflection that Republicans nationally are moving toward Gingrich.”

– Matt Towery, chief pollster for InsiderAdvantage

Mitt is going to be going heavily into the Florida media market… look for him to be on the offensive instead of the defensive petitions he held in South Carolina… and there are two debates ( first one tonight) before the primary voting.

This will be interesting to watch, unless, like me, you don’t want to miss the new episode of House.

Virginia + GOP = Party Distrust

Things are Upside Down in Virginia

Since the announcement that Gingrich and Perry did not make the filing deadline of signatures to be on the VA primary ballot, and the upcoming legal controversy that VA does not allow write-ins, the relationship between state and registered voters takes away their choices for the future. NO MATTER WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THE PRIMARY!

You see,

Anyone who wants to vote must sign a form at the polling place pledging to support the eventual Republican nominee for president. Anyone who refuses to sign will be barred from voting in the primary.

– Richmond Times-Dispatch

So if you vote in the Virginia Republican Primary, you can write off any chance of changing your
mind after the fact… in other words, you give up your freedom to select the candidate of your final choice.

Let’s hear it for Virginia.

(Hey, thanks for pointing me toward this one, Josh.)

Cartoon of the Week

Tim Goheen at McClatchy Tribune:

Well, as long as he explains what he meant…