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I’ll bet the Romney Campaign is a little more nervous with today’s Gallup announcement.

Gallup’s 30 day moving average poll finds unemployment has dropped to 7.3%. While not an official jobs number in the sense that the BLS numbers are, it obviously correlates to the recent BLS numbers that had the right wing in a frenzy of conspiracy talk. Also correlating to the improving BLS numbers are the facts that recent jobless claims numbers are dropping dramatically and today’s consumer confidence number hit a 5 year pre recession high.

Can’t wait to hear Romney’s response to all of this.

 

Gallup Poll on Romney’s Convention Speech…

Gallup found the Romney Speech to be the worst one since Bob Dole in 1996.

Gallup results:

That brings into question what the results of his speech will be. Since he outlined no real plans or potential policies but spent most of the speech just introducing himself and attacking Obama, Romney had a performance few will remember. As to memories, I’ll remember Clint Eastwood.

Science vs. God – America is becoming ignorant.

Gallup has released the results of a national poll on science, and unfortunately, modern biology didn’t fare well:

“Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years.”

In fact, only 15% believed in evolution with God playing no part in everything (ie: the major premise of modern science.)

Here in America we used to have a competitive edge in science… now we are falling way behind competing countries. We need to start taking science seriously again —  ignorance costs far too much. Results such as those of the Gallup poll should serve as a wake-up call.

Neil deGrasse Tyson gave a lecture a few years ago on the “philosophy of ignorance,” in which he said a lack of appreciation for basic scientific principles will hurt America’s scientific output, which has traditionally been the nation’s largest economic engine.

“If nonscience works its way into the science classroom, it marks … the beginning of the end of the economic strength this country has known,” Tyson said.

If you care about American economic competitiveness you have to care about science.

Has Obama Lost His Party’s Base?

James Earl "Jimmy" Carter

Jimmy Carter

Steve Kornacki has an article in Salon which is worth reading, since he compares Obama’s numbers with Jimmy carter’s, Reagan‘s, Geo. H.W. Bush’s and Bill Clinton’s … Obama comes off pretty well…
For instance,  Jimmy Carter’s numbers were much worse:
Mid-April 1979 overall approval: 40 percent
With Democrats: 52 percent
Now this is what a base problem looks like —

Here’s a couple of clips… go in and read the whole thing.

clipped from www.salon.com
Barack Obama’s speech on Wednesday, in which he aggressively challenged the deficit reduction blueprint being embraced by congressional Republicans, seems to have quieted talk — which was rampant earlier in the week — about the president alienating his party’s base. For now.
Rest assured, there will be more occasions between now and November 2012 when Obama’s rhetoric or his policy choices (or both) offend vocal activists and commentators on the left — at which point a stream of news stories will be devoted to the question of whether Obama is at risk of losing the election because of a fractured base.
Gallup‘s latest data has Obama scoring an 80 percent approval number among Democrats; an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll puts the number at 83 percent. Among liberal Democrats, Gallup has Obama at 80 percent, while NBC/WSJ puts his support at 79 percent. His numbers have remained steady in this range since late 2009.
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New Gallup Poll – Parties Tied at 46% in Generic Ballot for Congress

Latest weekly update shows more competitive contest

Are things looking up for the Dems? It’s been so dismal in the polls lately. But this new Gallup that they put out lately shows a small, but interesting change. While there is still a factor of Republicans being more excited about getting out and voting than Democrats, this could be enough of a change to cut down on the takeover of Congress by the Right.

Gallup: Republican Congressional Ballot Lead Highest Ever, says TPM this morning…

“The Republican leads of 6, 7, and 10 points this month are all higher than any previous midterm Republican advantage in Gallup’s history of tracking the generic ballot, which dates to 1942. Prior to this year, the highest such gap was five points, measured in June 2002 and July 1994. Elections in both of these years resulted in significant Republican gains in House seats.”
clipped from tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com
Gallup is reporting that the GOP lead in congressional generic polling is now 10 points — the largest lead for the party in the storied polling firm’s history. The poll asks respondents which party they would prefer to see in control of Congress. Republicans now lead Gallup’s generic ballot 51-41.
Gallup attributes the double-digit Republican lead in its latest polling to the massive GOP advantage in voter enthusiasm, a story we’ve been talking about all year. The newest Gallup numbers show Republicans with a staggering 25% advantage in voter enthusiasm. What does that mean in real terms? “Republicans are now twice as likely as Democrats to be ‘very’ enthusiastic about voting,” the pollster writes.
Gallup is one of America’s oldest pollsters and has a long memory when it comes to political questions. Digging in its own archives, the pollster puts the month of August into historical perspective when it comes to the newest numbers:

Gallup surveyed 1,540 registered voters Aug. 23-29. The margin of error is 4%.”

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“Democrats have argued that there’s still a lot of time before voters head to the polls in November, and they say that further public discussion of what they’ve accomplished since President Obama was inaugurated will close the gap for the Democrats by Election Day. But Republicans say that it’s what the Democrats haven’t accomplished — namely, putting a big dent in the nation’s unemployment numbers — that will tilt things heavily in the GOP’s favor when all is said and done this year.”