This morning’s first swing state polls:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground:

How about Electoral Vote and Senate predictions…

Nevada: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (American Research Group)

New Hampshire: Romney 49%, Obama 47% (American Research Group)

Both of these show changes: Romney up in New Hampshire and Obama leading in Nevada. Also, remember: 270 Electoral votes to win.

When more of these polls come out today I will make them available either in a new post or updating this one.

Related articles

• Obama up in battleground New Hampshire (politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com)

 

I’m getting more depressed with the latest swing state polls…

It looks like Romney is gaining an advantage… we’ll be seeing in a couple of days what last night’s VP debate does to the calculations, but meanwhile we are here:

Colorado: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Denver Post)

Florida: Romney 49%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (Rasmussen)

New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)

No, they aren’t the only polls and we’ll be seeing more later. And lets remember from the Seymour Chwast cartoon above, Romney changes ground frequently.

Our daily view of state election stats:

Romney came up  enough to average out at a close race. There is still enough Obama lead in the majority of swing states. I’ll be curious to the stats after tomorrow night’s VP debate:

COLORADO (American Research Group): Romney 50, Obama 46

CONNECTICUT (Rasmussen): Obama 51, Romney 45, Others 1

INDIANA (McLaughlin and Associates for the Mourdock campaign–R): Romney 55, Obama 39

LOUISIANA (Magellan Research–R): Romney 59, Obama 36

MASSACHUSETTS (MassINC for WBUR): Obama 52, Romney 36, Others 2

MASSACHUSETTS (YouGov for Univ. of Massachusetts): Obama 55, Romney 34, Others 2 (LV); Obama 55, Romney 30, Others 3 (RV)

MINNESOTA (PPP): Obama 53, Romney 43

NEVADA (Rasmussen): Obama 47, Romney 47, Others 3

NEW HAMPSHIRE (Univ. of New Hampshire): Obama 47, Romney 41

NORTH CAROLINA (Gravis–R): Romney 50, Obama 41

OHIO (American Research Group): Romney 48, Obama 47, Others 1

OHIO (CNN/ORC): Obama 51, Romney 47 (LV); Obama 53, Romney 43 (RV)

OHIO (SurveyUSA–link updated): Obama 45, Romney 44, Others 3

Related articles

• Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Is Obama’s brutal poll day a blip, or a permanent re-calibration? (dailykos.com)
• New Colorado poll more evidence of Romney’s post-debate bounce (blogs.denverpost.com)
• Obama starts coming back in the swing states… (underthelobsterscope.wordpress.com)
• Romney takes slight lead in new Gallup poll (cbsnews.com)

It’s another day of Obama leading in the swing state polls…

 

OK… 42 days to go until election day (although half the states have started early or absentee voting already) and the swing states are still in Obama‘s favor and increasing that way. Here we are today:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)

Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)

Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)

Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)

If he is going to come back, Romney will have to do something spectacular in the first debate. Many of the pundits think that is hardly likely.

Related articles

• As Romney stumbles, Obama regains his mojo (washingtonpost.com)
• Poll shows Obama with 10-point lead over Romney among Colorado independents (blogs.denverpost.com)
• Battleground polls seem to give Obama upper hand over Romney (cnn.com)
• POLL: Swing-State Voters Trust Obama Over Romney On Medicare (thinkprogress.org)
• Obama Lead Widens, Michigan Loses Swing State Status (elections.firedoglake.com)
• Poll: Obama gains in swing states (politico.com)